## Market Snapshot The Polymarket question on whether Donald Trump will announce the lifting of the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 27.5% YES. This reflec�...
## Market Snapshot The market on Iran’s leadership status by the end of 2026 currently remains uncertain, with multiple sub-markets active. The market assessing whether Iran will close its airspace...
## Market Snapshot The “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” market is currently priced at 16.5% YES, down from 24% in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the “Iran closes its airspace by May 31” mar...
## Market Snapshot Iran Airspace Closure market shows a current price of 16.5% YES for May 8, down from 24% a day ago, and 39% YES for May 31, up from 38%. The WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 marke�...
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” is currently assessing a decreased likelihood, with the recent news suggesting a shift in military focus. The “US Decla...
## Market Snapshot In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire markets, a ceasefire by April 30, 2026, is considered unlikely, with activity reflecting a low probability. The June 30, 2026, ceasefire market sho�...
## Market Snapshot In the market for Iran closing its airspace by May 8, the current pricing is 14.5% YES, down from 24% in the last 24 hours. The probability of Iran’s regime falling by June 30 is...
## Market Snapshot Meta Platforms stock price predictions market currently shows a 100% YES outcome for Meta reaching $740 in the week of April 27, 2026. There is no observable change in sub-market �...
## Market Snapshot The market for “Iran leadership change by December 31” currently prices a 33.5% YES probability, down from 36% a day prior. The “fall of the Iranian regime by May 31” sits ...
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump Visit to China” market, YES pricing is at 94% for May 31 and 97% for June 30. The “US-Iran Nuclear Deal” market currently shows a 14.5% YES probability for a ...