Pakistan’s Prime Minister is keeping peace talk plans alive in Islamabad despite Iran pulling out, and the odds for a ceasefire extension by April 21, 2026, have dropped to 64% YES, down from 86% ...
Iran’s Foreign Ministry is reviewing a US plan conveyed during the Pakistani Army Chief’s visit, and the market for no US-Iran meeting by June 30 sits at 1.5% YES, up from 2% yesterday. Market ...
Aave’s rsETH exploit caused a $7B drop in total value locked and a 15% decline in the AAVE token. Bitcoin’s likelihood of dipping to $60,000 in April sits at 3.1% YES, unchanged after the news b...
Iran’s Foreign Ministry said there is no plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The market on Trump announcing the US blockade lift by May 31 is now at 78% , down from 90% twenty-four hours ago. Mar...
The Strait of Hormuz crisis has driven an 8% surge in crude oil prices, pushing the likelihood of crude hitting $90 by the end of June to ? YES. Market reaction Crude oil markets are responding t�...
Pakistan has ramped up diplomatic efforts with Washington and Tehran to push US-Iran talks forward. “Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?” is at 3.7% YES, up fro...
President Trump is trying to navigate a rocky ceasefire deal with Iran while the Strait of Hormuz re-closes. The US-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 22 sits at 17% YES, down from 40% just�...
Solana’s decentralized exchanges processed a record $1.26 billion in tokenized asset volume in the first quarter of 2026, and the market for Solana reaching $150 by April 1319 currently trades at 22...
BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF attracted $906 million in inflows last week, while the Polymarket contract for Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April sits at 36.5% YES. The $80,000 price target dropped from 6...
Senior Iranian sources say nuclear program disagreements remain unresolved with no narrowing of gaps, and the odds of Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30 have dropped to 31.4% , down�...